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Articles ( Showing 1-20 of 16 items)
Searched for: [ Keywords: "Budget deficit" ] clear all
Journal Article
The budget deficit in an endogenous growth model with bequest and money holdings
by Yasuhito Tanaka
Abstract
By an endogenous growth model with a two-period overlapping generations structure, I examine the existence of a budget deficit in an economy that endogenously grows by investments of firms. The consumers leave bequests to their descendants and hold money as a part of their savings. I use a Barro-type utility function, where people include the utility of their children in their [...] Read more

Letter
Money holding and budget deficit in a growing economy with consumers living forever
by Yasuhito Tanaka
Abstract
I examine the problem of budget deficit in a growing economy in which consumers hold money as a part of their savings in the case where consumers live forever. For simplicity and tractability I use a discrete time dynamic model and Lagrange multiplier method. In the appendix I briefly explain the solution using a discrete time version of the Hamiltonian method. I will show the [...] Read more

Journal Article
Budget deficit and money holding when consumers live forever in an endogenous growth model
by Yasuhito Tanaka
Abstract
In this paper I will show that budget deficit (or fiscal deficit) is necessary to achieve full employment under constant prices or inflation, using a model of endogenous growth in which consumers hold money for the reason of liquidity and live forever. Budget deficit need not be offset by future budget surpluses. I consider the continuous time case by taking the limit of the di [...] Read more

Journal Article
Don’t worry about the debt-GDP Ratio
by Yasuhito Tanaka
Abstract
I will show that if the propensity to consume from savings satisfies appropriate conditions, the debt-GDP ratio will not grow infinitely large and fiscal collapse will not occur. Using a basic macroeconomic model, with an overlapping generations model in mind, we show the following results: 1) The budget deficit including interest payments on the government bonds equals an incr [...] Read more

Letter
Government deficit and “The World’s smallest macroeconomic model” by Paul Krugman
by Yasuhito Tanaka
Abstract
In his "The World’s smallest macroeconomic model” (Krugman (1999)), Paul Krugman argued that under the assumption of price rigidity, a shortage of money supply leads to underemployment or recession, so increasing money supply can eliminate underemployment and restore full employment. But, how do we increase the money supply? I will show that we need a government def [...] Read more

Journal Article
An overlapping generations version of Krugman’s world’s smallest macroeconomic model and fiscal deficit
by Yasuhito Tanaka
Abstract
This paper attempts to introduce an overlapping generations structure into Paul Krugman's "The world's smallest macroeconomic model" (Krugman (1999)) to examine the implications of fiscal policy, particularly fiscal deficits, in a framework suitable for policy analysis. In that paper, Krugman argued that under the price rigidity assumption, a shortage in the money supply leads [...] Read more

Journal Article
A Virtual Economics Laboratory: What Generated High Inflation? 14 Different Explanations to One Inflation Period
by Yair Barak
Abstract
A high inflation period of seven years (1978-1985) in Israel, which turned into a hyperinflation, puzzled Israeli economists, who tried to understand its causes and mechanisms. As a result, they provided fourteen different explanations. Although all of the explanations were based on the same data, the researchers’ conclusions were either different or contradictory. This s [...] Read more

Journal Article
Public spending and economic growth in Ivory Coast: Wagner’s law
by Siriki Coulibaly  and  Pierre Guei
Abstract
This study simultaneously tests Wagner’s law on one hand and Keynes proposition on the other hand related both government spending and output in Ivory Coast that experiencing long run economic growth and widened deficit. That challenges the country’s fiscal sustainability. With annual data from 1980 to 2020, results show that Wagner’s law holds, the elasticity [...] Read more

Journal Article
An Operational Framework for a Low-carbon, Green Growth Economy: CO-STIRPAT Dynamic System
by Ick Jin
Abstract
This paper presents an operational framework for assessing the trajectories of production, energy, emissions, and capital accumulation to ensure the implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The framework combines widely used methodologies (STIRPAT, system dynamics, and optimization) to simulate the pathways of variables until a target year. The CO-STIRPAT d [...] Read more
Hit Affiliation:
Director General, Economic Analysis Department of the National Assembly Budget Office, Seoul, Korea

Journal Article
Probability of Achieving NDC and Implications for Climate Policy: CO-STIRPAT Approach
by Ick Jin
Abstract
This paper presents an analytical framework to assess the probability of achieving nationally determined contributions (NDC). The prediction model based on the Kaya identity is used to simulate the pathway of carbon emission until the target year. Applying the modified STIRPAT framework (named CO-STIRPAT) to data observed in South Korea shows that the probability that the predi [...] Read more
Hit Affiliation:
Director General, Economic Analysis Department of the National Assembly Budget Office, Seoul, Korea

Journal Article
Bank Runs and Design Flaws of Deposit Insurance
by Sangkyun Park
Abstract
Deposit insurance systems are designed to balance the benefits of preventing bank runs and protecting ordinary savers against the costs of reduced market discipline and potential burdens on taxpayers. Design flaws of deposit insurance make the benefits too low and the costs too high. This paper presents an example in which solvent banks can effectively manage runs, depositors d [...] Read more
Hit Affiliation:
The U.S. Office of Management and Budget, USA

Journal Article
Do Bank Capital Requirements Make Resource Allocation Suboptimal?
by Sangkyun Park
Abstract
Bank capital requirements would entail large social costs if they made resource allocation suboptimal and banking services costly by unduly limiting the banks’ ability to lend. This paper considers three main factors that may make capital requirements relevant, namely, deposit insurance subsidies, stock valuation errors, and tax shields derived from debt financing. The th [...] Read more
Hit Affiliation:
The U.S. Office of Management and Budget, USA

Journal Article
Gross Domestic Products (GDP) is not a Proper Indicator of Measurement and Economic Power Comparison for Emerging Economies: A Judgement from International Distributions of Net Factor Income from Abroad
by Dong Qiu  and  Yafei Wang
Abstract
Global distributions of net factor income from abroad (NFI) during 1990-2019 have witnessed that (1) the United States is the top one country accounting for 40% of surpluses of the global total, while a surge in China’s deficit with its GDP increase; (2) GDP growth in emerging economies has a price scissors with NFI deficits; (3) asymmetric NFI has covered up the severity [...] Read more

Journal Article
State intervention in land pricing and endogenous risk aversion
by Yong He
Abstract
This study explores the cause and effect of endogenous risk aversion in land pricing, where state intervention through taxation remains a general practice. Using a consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating taxation, it is shown that high taxation, due to the indexation effect, supporting land prices and reducing individuals' risk expectations, could lead to an endogen [...] Read more

Journal Article
Fundamental character of the risk premium to influence the sustainability of the public debt
by Séverine Menguy
Abstract
Traditionally, conditions of sustainability of the public debt have long been related quite exclusively to fiscal policy and to budgetary parameters. However, the interaction between fiscal and monetary policies regarding the fixation of the interest rate is fundamental. Indeed, a simple analytical modelling shows that if the nominal interest rate increases exponentially with t [...] Read more

Journal Article
Competition in French hospital: Does it impact the patient management in healthcare?
by Carine Milcent
Abstract
This research paper examines changes in patient care management in acute care hospitals between 2001 and 2011. During this time, there were two opposing factors at play: the competition effect of the reform and the policymaker’s decision to reduce public hospitals across France. By studying the trends, it is evident that there has been a significant overall shift in patie [...] Read more