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Articles ( Showing 1-20 of 2 items)
Searched for: [ Keywords: "NDC" ] clear all
Journal Article
Probability of Achieving NDC and Implications for Climate Policy: CO-STIRPAT Approach
by Ick Jin
Abstract
This paper presents an analytical framework to assess the probability of achieving nationally determined contributions (NDC). The prediction model based on the Kaya identity is used to simulate the pathway of carbon emission until the target year. Applying the modified STIRPAT framework (named CO-STIRPAT) to data observed in South Korea shows that the probability that the predi [...] Read more

Journal Article
An Operational Framework for a Low-carbon, Green Growth Economy: CO-STIRPAT Dynamic System
by Ick Jin
Abstract
This paper presents an operational framework for assessing the trajectories of production, energy, emissions, and capital accumulation to ensure the implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). The framework combines widely used methodologies (STIRPAT, system dynamics, and optimization) to simulate the pathways of variables until a target year. The CO-STIRPAT d [...] Read more