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Articles ( Showing 1-20 of 13 items)
Searched for: [ Keywords: "repo rate" ] clear all
Journal Article
Interactive influence of house prices and the repo rate on household debt in South Africa
by Juniours Marire
Abstract
The recent interest rate policy decisions of the South African Reserve Bank have been criticized significantly by left-leaning political parties and civic society organisations for being anti-poor, anti-labour, and pro-capital because of their implications for household debt. Existing literature has established that interest rates and house prices are insignificant determinants [...] Read more

Journal Article
Assessment of exchange rate determination in a mono-resource economy: A case of Nigeria
by Nakorji Musa , Oji-okoro Izuchukwu  and  Seyi Saint Akadiri
Abstract
This study examined the determinants of the exchange rate in a mono-resource economy, during the period of currency and oil price fall in Nigeria. The aim of the study is to ascertain the potentiality of economic diversification (non-oil export) in saving the falling value of the domestic currency, as well as, its stability. The study employed the use of monthly data from the C [...] Read more

Journal Article
A Decision-Making Framework for Assessing New Rate Mechanisms: The Case of US Gas Distributors
by Kenneth W. Costello
Abstract
To make an assessment of ratemaking proposals, this article proposes that regulators should consider applying a logical decision-making process, such as multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), that selects or modifies those rate mechanisms that come closest to achieving the public interest, as defined by regulators. MCDA seems like an fitting tool to improve regulatory decisio [...] Read more

Journal Article
Fundamental character of the risk premium to influence the sustainability of the public debt
by Séverine Menguy
Abstract
Traditionally, conditions of sustainability of the public debt have long been related quite exclusively to fiscal policy and to budgetary parameters. However, the interaction between fiscal and monetary policies regarding the fixation of the interest rate is fundamental. Indeed, a simple analytical modelling shows that if the nominal interest rate increases exponentially with t [...] Read more

Journal Article
Dilemma for fiscal policies: supporting economic activity, or ensuring public debt sustainability?
by Séverine Menguy
Abstract
We study analytically the conflict of goals between stabilizing economic activity and public debt sustainability, for the fiscal authorities. In the short run, an active and expansionary fiscal policy, increasing public investment or reducing the labor taxation rate, is growth enhancing. However, as these short term fiscal policies also decrease government revenue and increase [...] Read more

Journal Article
A Comparative Machine Learning Survival Models Analysis for Predicting Time to Bank Failure in the US (2001-2023)
by Diego Vallarino
Abstract
This study investigates the likelihood of time to bank failures in the US between 2001 and April 2023, based on data collected from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation's report on "Bank Failures in Brief - Summary 2001 through 2023". The dataset includes 564 instances of bank failures and several variables that may be related to the likelihood of such events, such as asse [...] Read more

Journal Article
Agglomeration Economies and Rural-to-Urban Migration in India
by Arup Mitra  and  Rajesh Raushan
Abstract
Keeping in view the concept of agglomeration economies and the New Economic Geography (NEG) angle, this paper makes an attempt to examine the rural to urban population movement at the district level in India. The findings do not favour a strong positive association between levels of urbanization and migration rates.  However, there exists a cluster of districts which are a [...] Read more

Journal Article
Optimal Commodity Storage: Privately and Publicly Financed Storage Compared
by Paul Hallwood
Abstract
Consideration of optimal commodity storage with different discount rates. Finding that, even with a lower discount rate than private storage, optimal government-financed storage may not narrow price fluctuations compared with optimal privately financed storage because a government has to choose a probability of buffer stock failure greater than zero to economize on storage cost [...] Read more

Journal Article
Are Banks Too Many? A Theoretical Possibility and a Policy Issue
by Gerasimos T. Soldatos  and  Erotokritos Varelas
Abstract
Motivated by the Blackorby-Schworm (1993) observation that market outcomes may differ from those originating in market-actor optimization, this paper claims that the number of banks in the market is larger than the number justified by bank profit maximization alone or in combination with bank depositor welfare maximization. This claim is made within the context of bilateral mon [...] Read more

Journal Article
Dynamics of deposit dollarization in Turkey
by A. Yasemin Yalta  and  A. Talha Yalta
Abstract
Deposit dollarization in Turkey has been on the rise, reaching record levels in 2022. This was caused by the worsening macroeconomic fundamentals along with the transition to the presidential system in 2018 and the associated deviation from the monetary policy stance afterward. The unique case of Turkey presents an excellent natural experiment to explore the dynamics of deposit [...] Read more

Journal Article
Inflation’s Reduction of the Real Minimum Wage and Unemployment in the USA: 1987 to 2021
by Jonathan E. Leightner  and  Eric Jenkins
Abstract
Hundreds of articles have been written that include empirical estimates of the dis-employment effects of minimum wages; however, many of these articles find statistically insignificant effects, some find significant negative effects, and a few find significant positive effects. Most of these studies use multivariate analyses which can be criticized for omitting key variables. T [...] Read more

Journal Article
Analyzing Bilateral Trade Dynamics between Azerbaijan and Pakistan: A Robust Least Squares Regression Approach
by Ibrahim Niftiyev
Abstract
The diplomatic relations between Azerbaijan and Pakistan have undergone significant development since the late 1990s. Despite some studies focusing on diplomatic and political relations, the economic dimension of this partnership has not been systematically covered. In this paper, a robust least squares (RLS) approach is used to model bilateral trade between the two countries a [...] Read more

Journal Article
Keynesian Without the Policy: Why the Business Cycle is all about Business Confidence and Finance
by Karl Johan Bergstrӧ m
Abstract
Many of Keynes´s ideas and concepts are proven correct in this paper. The demand side, mainly business investments, drives the economy. Business firms steer the business cycle via profit expectations and animal spirits. Injections to and withdrawals from the circular flow of income are multiplied throughout the economy in accordance with Keynes´s multiplier. A sudde [...] Read more